
US-Iran stress exposes decline of greenback’s secure haven standing
June 23, 2025 (Investorideas.com Newswire) Investorideas.com, a go-to platform for large investing concepts, together with power shares points market commentary from deVere Group.

The monetary markets’ response to intensifying US-Iran tensions has revealed a pointy erosion of the US greenback’s secure haven standing, warns Nigel Inexperienced, CEO of worldwide monetary advisory deVere Group, as traders eye Tehran’s subsequent transfer.
Within the wake of focused US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites-an escalation that dangers dragging the area into broader conflict-the greenback firmed solely modestly.
The muted response has surprised many, particularly given the severity of the geopolitical backdrop. However the response is telling: the buck is not the automated refuge it as soon as was.
“We’re witnessing a second of reckoning for the greenback’s fame as the last word secure haven,” says Nigel Inexperienced.
“The market’s restrained response, even amid a high-stakes standoff, underscores how investor religion is shifting. The world is watching Iran, however it’s additionally quietly reassessing the reliability of the greenback in occasions of disaster.”
This shift in sentiment comes after the greenback has fallen 8.6% towards a basket of main currencies this yr. The slide, Nigel Inexperienced explains, is partly pushed by nervousness over the long-term injury from President Donald Trump’s commerce tariffs, which have undermined US progress expectations and clouded coverage stability, and issues of US nationwide debt.
“For many years, greenback dominance was a given in turbulent occasions,” the deVere CEO notes. “Whether or not throughout the Gulf Warfare, the worldwide monetary disaster, or post-9/11, capital would pour into the greenback as a proxy for safety. However that certainty is fading.”
In distinction, the newest flare-up within the Center East has not sparked a stampede into the buck. Whereas there was an preliminary uptick, traders stay hesitant to commit. The tepid good points recommend the transfer could also be a short lived, tactical response, not a structural vote of confidence.
“There is a rising consensus that the US fiscal trajectory, political dysfunction, and weaponization of the greenback via sanctions carry actual dangers.”
Markets are actually on edge for Iran’s subsequent transfer. Ought to Tehran retaliate in a manner that threatens international oil flows or attracts additional US escalation, the world might see vital volatility. However that volatility might not end result “within the form of greenback inflows we’d have anticipated prior to now.”
He continues: “If Iran responds forcefully and oil costs surge, we might see capital transfer rapidly-but not essentially into US belongings.
“Some will nonetheless run to the greenback, however fewer and extra cautiously. Others will favour commodities, the eurozone, and even rising markets seen as insulated from US-led dangers.”
The rebalancing away from greenback dominance has been constructing for years. Nigel Inexperienced factors to the aftermath of the 2008 disaster, when unprecedented quantitative easing started to undermine the greenback’s long-term worth, and to newer years the place Washington’s unpredictable international and commerce coverage has alienated allies and undermined confidence.
“The world has began hedging towards the greenback,” he says.
“Central banks are diversifying their reserves. Establishments are exploring options. Digital currencies, together with central financial institution digital currencies and Bitcoin, are a part of the combo too.”
Nonetheless, the deVere chief govt warns towards complacency. “The greenback will not vanish as a secure haven in a single day, however its gravitational pull is weakening.”
With the world awaiting Iran’s response, traders are on excessive alert.
“However a key subplot is not nearly navy escalation-it’s a couple of elementary realignment in how international capital perceives danger and security.
“The buck’s mystique is fading,” Nigel Inexperienced concludes. “We’re in a brand new period the place blind belief within the greenback not defines monetary crises.”
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