Editor’s Picks: Gold Worth Passes US$2,950, Trump Guarantees Fort Knox Audit

Central banks lead gold demand

Central banks remained the most important drivers of gold demand in 2024. As a gaggle, they made cumulative internet purchases of 1,045 MT in 2024, with the fourth quarter alone accounting for 333 MT.

The Nationwide Financial institution of Poland led the upsurge, buying 90 MT of the yellow steel in 2024, whereas different rising market central banks additionally contributed considerably to the general complete.

This heightened demand from central banks marks a steady shift within the international financial system, with central banks more and more favoring gold as a hedge towards foreign money volatility and geopolitical tensions.

2024 was the third yr in a row through which central banks’ gold purchases exceeded 1,000 MT, marking a notable enhance in comparison with the pre-2022 common of 473 MT.

Regardless of questions on future demand, central banks are anticipated to take care of their buying momentum into 2025, significantly as geopolitical dangers proceed to affect coverage choices.

Investor demand helps gold ETF progress

Gold’s attraction to particular person buyers additionally remained strong in 2024, significantly in gold ETFs.

Funding demand for the valuable steel reached 1,180 MT for the yr, a 25 % enhance from 2023, with ETFs drawing vital inflows, particularly within the second half of the yr. These inflows have been pushed by elements together with decrease rates of interest, geopolitical instability and a strengthening gold worth.

In distinction to the earlier three years, throughout which gold ETFs skilled substantial outflows, 2024 noticed near-stagnant holdings by the top of the yr, displaying a marked shift in investor sentiment.

Market contributors more and more turned to gold as a protected haven, and the US market particularly witnessed appreciable ETF inflows, pushed by the relative weak spot of the US greenback and considerations over inflation.

Gold jewellery demand struggles as worth climbs

Whereas funding demand soared, the jewellery sector struggled in 2024, with international jewellery consumption falling by 11 % to 1,877 MT. The numerous gold worth rise through the yr led to decrease volumes of gold jewellery being bought, as shoppers discovered it more and more troublesome to afford the yellow steel.

The weak spot in jewellery demand was international, although India noticed comparatively smaller declines in comparison with China, which skilled a major drop of 24 % from 2023.

Nevertheless, the worth of gold jewellery consumption elevated by 9 %, reaching a document excessive of US$144 billion. This allowed jewelers to attain increased gross sales figures, with a marked distinction between demand quantity and worth.

Expertise and industrial demand will increase

Within the know-how sector, demand for gold grew by 7 % in 2024, which the WGC attributes largely to the growing adoption of synthetic intelligence (AI) infrastructure.

Gold utilized in electronics rose by 9 % year-on-year, contributing to the know-how sector’s strong demand. Total, complete annual gold demand from the tech sector got here to 326 MT.

Whereas gold’s function in industrial purposes is a smaller portion of general demand, its utilization in superior applied sciences continues to develop, underlining its significance in cutting-edge sectors like AI, electronics and renewable power.

Gold mine and recycling provide rise

Gold provide noticed modest progress in 2024, rising by 1 % to a document 4,974 MT, a brand new excessive for the information sequence. Each mine manufacturing and recycling have been up in comparison with the prior yr, with recycling climbing 11 %.

The WGC states that the outlook for gold provide stays sturdy, with expectations for strong mine manufacturing and potential will increase in recycling charges within the coming yr.

The gold worth reached a mean of US$2,386 per ounce in 2024, a 23 % enhance from the earlier yr. In This autumn, the typical worth peaked at US$2,663, contributing to a complete worth of US$111 billion for the quarter.

What’s driving gold’s document worth highs?

The WGC’s report comes because the gold worth hits new information, and in an interview with the Investing Information Community, Joe Cavatoni, senior market strategist, Americas, on the WGC, make clear the steel’s worth drivers.

“I believe many buyers are seeing the advantages and the deserves of getting gold as a diversifying asset of their portfolio,” he mentioned. “I believe they’re understanding that the chance shocks you may see to danger property will proceed to be one thing that can develop over the following two to a few months at a minimal as we begin to hear and see insurance policies unpacked.”

Watch Cavatoni talk about the WGC’s newest report.

Cavatoni additionally pointed to expectations of decrease rates of interest as a motivating power for gold.

“All of these elements are stacking as much as proceed to be a really sturdy efficiency driver for gold,” he mentioned.

Tariff uncertainty can be contributing to gold’s motion. The US has positioned extra tariffs on China, and though it is deferred tariffs on Canada and Mexico in the meanwhile, a lot uncertainty stays.

In Cavatoni’s opinion, will probably be key for sector contributors to tune out distractions.

“I believe the important thing factor proper now’s that you could clearly see the advantages of gold in a portfolio that is diversified. You’ll be able to see the advantages of getting it as a part of your allocation mentality, and I believe general what I would say is that shoppers, buyers and people who perceive the gold market want to grasp there will be a whole lot of noise,” he famous.